五件事史蒂夫被贏取的Ballmer ？t告訴您關於窗口7
在星期三夜，微軟CEO史蒂夫Ballmer在階段跨步在威尼斯式旅館？給開始家電展示的施政演說的s Palazzo舞廳。 它？第一次s為Ballmer，誰？採取他的前輩比爾・格茨多年來有的槽孔的s。
它？s廣泛期待Ballmer將公開地揭幕窗口7 beta 1，正門使用階段宣佈早先窗口版本。 他？ll無疑義有產品管理員隨員幫助他的做實際演示，有希望地啟發哇或二從被裝配的人群。
I ？盼望演示的m，即使我笠頭？t期待所有驚奇。 主要， I ？m去聽着在線之間，注意微軟選擇不談論的事。 在場合的精神，我提供Ballmer將採取巨大痛苦避免說事的以下預言。
1. ？你們恨我們新的OS，不管我們。？
大廈軟件是部分藝術、部分科學和所有妥協。 每個設計決策在表現介入交易，在易用為新手對未加工的力量為專家，甚而在美學方面。 我怎麼論及了其中一些問題在我去年寫的崗位，您基準點真實世界的工作？ 我充分地盼望窗口每成功的波浪7回顧包括大量？微軟吮？ 評論。 特別是從InfoWorld。
反覆在我的ZDNet同事賈森Perlow和我之間完全上星期說明這項原則。 1998年同意他的觀點)的賈森(和commenters要微軟提供給他們使用窗口接口使用他們的系統的選擇他們掌握了。 我認為追求向後看的戰略是巨型的浪費有限的開發資源。
底線是您能？t請大家和一大小不会適合所有。 如此大問題為微軟是他們是否可以取樂足够的人和引起足够的正面蜂聲淹沒陰性聲音。
2. ？發現司機為所有您的老XP-only硬件的好運。？
在過去幾個月， I ？ve在硬件能力和各種各樣不同的形狀因子在十二分開的系統安裝了并且使用了窗口7，代表大範圍。 Virtually every one of those systems had also run Windows Vista at some point in its lab lifecycle, which made it easy for me to track down the best drivers for each subsystem and peripheral.
Over the course of the last two years, I?ve discarded or replaced a handful of devices that didn?t work at all with Vista: several network cards, some storage adapters, a scanner, a TV tuner. In every case, I had to replace the unsupported part or do without. The good news is that the driver model for Windows 7 is identical to that of Windows Vista, so all the hardware I now own (and all the drivers I?ve bookmarked and saved) will work on upgraded systems.
So, what happens to people who decided to skip Vista and stick with XP, for whatever reason? They get to face those exact same issues. If your device doesn?t have a driver for Windows Vista, it will not work under Windows 7. Period. Full stop.
3. ?We?re still at the mercy of our clueless OEM partners ? and so are you.?
Some of the worst complaints about Windows Vista came from users who were subjected to horrible installations from OEMs, with poorly written drivers, inadequate hardware, and great heaping helpings of crapware to slow everything down to a crawl.
I had the chance to see this phenomenon up close and personal last year, when I rebuilt a Sony VAIO whose performance with Windows Vista was so awful that its owner basically wrote it off and bought a new MacBook. After a clean installation, including Vista Service Pack 1, its performance was eye-opening and impressive.
Since that time, Sony, Dell, and other top-tier OEMs have cleaned up their acts impressively. But even if Windows 7 turns out to be an excellent operating system, there?s still the potential for it to be scuttled by sloppy or greedy hardware makers. Microsoft executives are jawboning like crazy with their hardware partners; you know they?ll be holding their breath after the launch to see how those systems perform in the real world.
4. ?It might be years before we have a killer application for Vista or Windows 7.?
The myth of the ?killer app? has never been stronger than with Windows Vista. The idea refers to some program that performs an absolutely irresistible function and only runs on a particular platform. If you need that program, you have to upgrade to the new OS.
But software developers, including Microsoft, aren?t interested in cutting off customers who still use older platforms, especially in this tight economy. So, as a result, most popular Windows programs these days are written to run on Windows XP, Vista, and (soon) Windows 7. And there?s no sign that?s going to change anytime soon.
If anything, Microsoft is doing its best to avoid any kind of Vista-only software. The new Windows Live Essentials bundle, for example, works on XP and Vista, as does Windows Live Mesh and every member of the Microsoft Office family.
None of those programs are going to drop XP support anytime soon (although it?s remotely possible that the next version of Office will work only on Vista or later). That strategy of wide backward compatibility is the right thing to do for customers, but it bolsters the argument of those who contend that a killer app is the only reason to upgrade.
5. ?Our licensing terms are as hopelessly confusing as ever.?
Microsoft hasn?t gotten around to announcing how many editions of Windows 7 it plans to produce or what their prices will be. But one thing is certain: the confusing, multi-layered Windows business model isn?t going to change.
Royalty OEMs (the big PC makers like HP, Dell, Sony, and Toshiba) have one price list and one set of terms. Small system builders have another set of rules. Retail copies are horrendously overpriced.
Enterprise customers have to navigate through a thicket of price lists and volume licensing programs that actually require their own certification programs. And even Microsoft sometimes contradicts itself completely on how licensing terms apply to some customers.
Those are my predictions. Sit back, grab some popcorn, and watch the keynote for yourself, in low (100k), medium (300k) or high quality (750k) streams.Popularity: 1%
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